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My best numbers have New England by 1.4 points, assuming Michael Penix Jr. plays for the Falcons. Betting Atlanta might be the easiest win of the season, as they have double-digit wins over Buffalo and Minnesota. Or betting Atlanta might make me look really dumb, as they have awful losses to Carolina and Miami. Still, there is value if Penix plays.
The team that has outright won has also prevailed versus the spread in each of those nine matchups, and that trend is just one part of a Week 9 NFL betting guide. Should your Week 9 NFL picks include Mahomes,