Mathematicians rely on numbers, but finding words to explain different levels of certainty has stymied everyone from the ...

In one day, 433 people won the Philippine lottery jackpot. What were the chances? On October 1, 2022, something strange ...

If an event is more likely to occur at a certain point in time, the brain tracks the time until it occurs more precisely ...

A context-driven memory model simulates a wide range of characteristics of waking and sleeping hippocampal replay, providing a new account of how and why replay occurs.

Global leading digital asset trading platform BitMart today announced the official launch of its new product, Prediction Market, offering users an innovative way to participate in forecasting and ...

Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

“One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage’s (1954) sure-thing principle (STP). It states that if prospect x is preferred to y knowing that Event A ...

Standing at a bus stop on a blazing afternoon, it is easy to blame the heat alone for your discomfort. But a new study from ...

China is the second economy in the world and is bound to become the first one, but nobody wants to hold renminbi. The euro ...

A new study published in Nature Human Behaviour provides evidence that generative artificial intelligence models exhibit ...

California’s most dangerous faults are not only defined by the headline grabbing magnitude 7 shocks that topple freeways and ...