There’s a good chance that Berkshire Hathaway’s stock will lag the S&P 500 in the coming years. This is a matter of simple probabilities, and not a criticism of Berkshire Hathaway Chairman and Chief Executive Warren Buffett or his designated successors.

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Fast forward half a century, Bill Ackman, the billionaire hedge fund manager behind Pershing Square Capital Management, is looking to replicate Buffett’s success by creating a “modern-day Berkshire Hathaway.