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Wednesday Afternoon Tropical Update: The National Hurricane Center tracking two disturbances in the Atlantic Basin. The disturbance in the Caribbean Sea has a low chance of development as it is expected to traverse the Yucatan & Bay of Campeche on the way to Mexico this weekend. Meanwhile, a disturbance that has emerged in the Eastern Atlantic is gaining more traction for development and could threaten the Eastern Caribbean as legit tropical system by early-mid-next week. Euro model captures thi
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FacebookRob Perillo Chief Meteorologist KATC
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Friday afternoon tropical update: The NHC is tracking two potential systems, one compact & sheared thunderstorm cluster off the Georgia Coast & another potential weak system heading for the Bay of Campeche, and likely Mexico this weekend into early next week. The petite low off the Georgia Coast looks like it will have very limited time, if any, to become a depression before landfall when considering the shear keeping storms south of the circulation we see this afternoon. Meanwhile, deep tropica
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FacebookRob Perillo Chief Meteorologist KATC
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Latest National Hurricane Center advisory and forecast track for Potential Tropical Cyclone 9/Helene. #PTC9 #Helene www.katc.com/weather | Rob Perillo Chief Meteorologist KATC
2.9K viewsSep 24, 2024
FacebookRob Perillo Chief Meteorologist KATC
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It's all about the tropics now as TD14 may have some direct impacts upon Acadiana as early as late Monday but more likely into Tuesday. Impossible to nail down intensity/track forecast at this point until system clears the Yucatan by Sunday afternoon. Full details on a Facebook Live at 7pm here: https://bit.ly/34gUZMk & a new track & intensity forecast on Acadiana's News Channel at 10pm. | KATC-TV 3: Acadiana's Newschannel
6.3K viewsAug 20, 2020
FacebookKATC-TV 3: Acadiana's Newschannel
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Latest GRAF (18Z) and Euro (12Z) are farther south than the current NHC track, consequently leading to Rafael maintaining hurricane status longer. Latest tropical-specific models are following suit and we may see NHC shifting their track farther south too in next advisory. A Mexico landfall early next week might be possible. #lawx #HurricaneRafael | Rob Perillo Chief Meteorologist KATC
11.4K viewsNov 6, 2024
FacebookRob Perillo Chief Meteorologist KATC
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This morning's GRAF Model for visualization of the potential intense development of #PTC9 which will likely become Tropical Storm Helene Tuesday. GRAF is to the right/east of the official NHC track which we cannot trust since the system still hasn't formed...so please follow NHC track and guidance and not this model! In their initial advisory for PTC9, the NHC is forecasting maximum intensity at a high end Category 2 for starters, but acknowledging this system could have major hurricane potentia
16.8K viewsSep 23, 2024
FacebookRob Perillo Chief Meteorologist KATC
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